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Month: January 2026

Nigeria: When prudence becomes a brake, not a guardrail

Prudence is designed to make financial systems safer. Higher capital buffers, stricter underwriting, stronger compliance, and clearer rules all serve one aim: reduce the chance that shocks become crises. Prudence has a shadow cost: when imposed abruptly, uniformly, or without regard to transmission, it can shrink the economy it intends to protect. Nigeria’s financial reset…
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Nigeria’s Financial Reset: Where the rubber meets the road

Nigeria’s financial system is changing. It faces a major regulatory reset across banking, capital markets, fintech, FX intermediation, and cash usage. The trend is clear: higher capital, tighter compliance, clearer rules, and more market-based pricing, especially in foreign exchange. Officially, the goal is stability. In reality, it is during the adjustment phase that risk is…
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The global cost of regime risk

Venezuela’s latest political rupture is not just another chapter in a long crisis. It is a regime risk shock with global macroeconomic consequences. The labels—coup, externally backed regime change, or failed transition—matters less than what it reveals: the fragility of energy supply, geopolitics, and the pricing of emerging-market risk in a fragmented world. At its…
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Africa: Economic perspectives on growth, risk, and reform

Africa’s economic outlook is often summed up by a single number: growth rate. Forecasts for 2026 are in the low-to-mid 4 percent range (AfDB, Nov 2025), suggesting resilience but not transformation. However, interpretations of Africa’s present condition and future trajectory differ greatly depending on the economic lens applied. Economic schools of thought shape how policymakers…
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