For decades, Nigeria’s monetary policy operated in a hybrid space—part rules, part discretion—constrained by fiscal dominance, exchange-rate pressures, and deep structural inflation drivers. Monetary decisions were often shaped as much by administrative controls, directed credit, and quasi-fiscal objectives as by price stability. That framework is now changing. In recent years, the Central Bank of Nigeria…
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When central banks lower policy rates or governments deploy countercyclical fiscal stimulus, the standard transmission narrative is well known: the cost of capital declines, intertemporal substitution favors present consumption, risk appetite increases, private investment accelerates, and aggregate demand recovers. Monetary easing should relax financial conditions and spur balance-sheet expansion. Fiscal transfers and spending should smooth…
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Why GDP, inflation, and FX numbers increasingly reflect narrative, not measurement Global markets depend on economic indicators that purport to be precise but often fall short. GDP growth expressed to the decimal, inflation to the basis point, and FX reserves to the dollar all offer a sense of certainty underpinning pricing and forecasting. Yet this…
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